Owning the NFL’s top-ranked defense via EPA/Play, the New England Patriots travel to Minneapolis for a date with the Minnesota Vikings on Thanksgiving.

The Patriots took care of business over the New York Jets in Week 11, 10-3, while the Vikings were abused in their house by the revenge-minded Dallas Cowboys. The Vikings loss marked the first time that the franchise hadn’t scored a touchdown in a game in six years.

Nothing went according to plan for Minnesota, and the Cowboys defense smashed quarterback Kirk Cousins for a career-high 7 sacks. With that in mind, Minnesota hosting New England is not what the doctor ordered, as the Patriots defense and pass rush is arguably better than Dallas’.

Nov 20, 2022; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots head coach Bill Belichick. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports.

And while the Patriots defense is indeed the best in the world per expected points added — and Bill Belichick fears no one — the Vikings offer a change of pace for New England, whose recent slate of opponents and quarterbacks is a little head-scratching.

  • Week 11: New York Jets + Zach Wilson
  • Week 10: BYE
  • Week 9: Indianapolis Colts + Sam Ehlinger
  • Week 8: New York Jets + Zach Wilson
  • Week 7: Chicago Bears + Justin Fields
  • Week 6: Cleveland Browns + Jacoby Brissett
  • Week 5: Detroit Lions + Jared Goff
  • Week 4: Green Bay Packers + [meh] Aaron Rodgers

Throughout this stretch, New England’s defense rose to power, turning heads as a true-blue vintage Belichickian defense.

Therefore, it is fair to ask — was the Patriots first-in-the-NFL defense inflated by a serendipitous stretch of offenses and quarterbacks?

Probably.

Of course, many would argue Kirk Cousins isn’t leaps and bounds better than most of the Patriots recent opposing quarterbacks. But let’s be frank. Aside from Rodgers not encountering a poor season, Cousins is markedly more productive and experienced than all of that list.

Explained: The Vikings Surprises from Victory in England
Oct 2, 2022; London, United Kingdom; Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson (18) celebrates with Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins. Mandatory Credit: Peter van den Berg-USA TODAY Sports.

Add Cousins’ weaponry — Justin Jefferson, Dalvin Cook, Adam Thielen, T.J. Hockenson — and the arsenal is the best New England has faced in months. Put bluntly, New England hasn’t played a finely-tuned offense since Week 3 against the Baltimore Ravens. And if you don’t like the Ravens offense, before that, it was Week 1 against the Miami Dolphins because Week 2 was another tap-in versus Mitchell Trubisky’s Pittsburgh Steelers.

The Vikings offense cannot be classified as finely-tuned yet — it has its moments — but the talent assortment represents more than Belichick has encountered since September.

In that vein, the Vikings pose a real test for the Patriots — not the ominous notion of, “how will the Vikings solve the Patriots defense?” New England carved out its lofty defense status on the backs of men named Sam Ehlinger and Zach Wilson.

If the Vikings aren’t effectuating vibes reminiscent of the loss to Dallas, the Patriots should be the squad experiencing a rude awakening.


Dustin Baker is a political scientist who graduated from the University of Minnesota in 2007. Subscribe to his daily YouTube Channel, VikesNow. He hosts a podcast with Bryant McKinnie, which airs every Wednesday with Raun Sawh and Sal Spice. His Viking fandom dates back to 1996. Listed guilty pleasures: Peanut Butter Ice Cream, ‘The Sopranos,’ and The Doors (the band).

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